Beliefs should have a defined degree of certainity rather than a binary true/false(like in classical [ Epistemology ]). Laws of Probability…
Published on a year ago
Expected Value: Theoretical net positive or negative of a given event over time. Volatility > Luck: How much variation there is around the…
Published on a year ago
Uncertainty comes from... Hidden Information Chance Our brain tend to make these mistakes... More prone to make false positive errors. We…
Published on a year ago
Beliefs are bets on the future. If we think of our belief/decision as bets, we would be more open to challenge/change it, rather than be…
Published on a year ago
We tend to believe that large events have large causes. This might be true in many instances, but not always. Example: in one study…
Published on a month ago