5 notes tagged with "probability"


Proportionality Bias

We tend to believe that large events have large causes. This might be true in many instances, but not always.

Tagged With: #bias #permanent-notes #psychology #probability

Published on Jan 01, 2023

Bayesian Epistemology

Beliefs should have a defined degree of certainity rather than a binary true/false(like in classical Epistemology).

Tagged With: #literature-notes #probability #epistemology #philosophy

Published on Aug 30, 2021

Thinking in Bets

Beliefs are bets on the future.

Tagged With: #permanent-notes #probability #meta-cognition #psychology #cognitive-bias

Published on Aug 06, 2021

Risk Schmisk - Annie Duke

Expected Value: Theoretical net positive or negative of a given event over time.

Tagged With: #literature-notes #meta-cognition #psychology #risk #probability

Published on Aug 06, 2021